Open this publication in new window or tab >>Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research (INSTAAR), University of Colorado Boulder Colorado USA;Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology University of Colorado Boulder Colorado USA.
School of GeoSciences University of Edinburgh Edinburgh UK;Department of Forest & Conservation Sciences, Faculty of Forestry University of British Columbia Vancouver British Columbia Canada.
Amsterdam Institute for Life and Environment, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Amsterdam the Netherlands.
Environmental Science Center, Qatar University Doha Qatar.
USDA Forest Service, Research and Development Río Piedras Puerto Rico USA.
Gothenburg Global Biodiversity Centre Gothenburg Sweden;Department of Earth Sciences University of Gothenburg Gothenburg Sweden.
Department of Biology and Environmental Sciences University of Gothenburg Gothenburg Sweden;Gothenburg Global Biodiversity Centre Gothenburg Sweden.
Dutch Research Council Den Haag the Netherlands.
Department of Arctic and Marine Biology; Faculty of Biosciences, Fisheries and Economics UiT‐The Arctic University of Norway Tromsø Norway.
Amsterdam Institute for Life and Environment, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Amsterdam the Netherlands.
USDA Forest Service, Research and Development Río Piedras Puerto Rico USA.
Department of Biological Sciences and Bjerknes Center for Climate Research University of Bergen Bergen Norway.
Department of Geography University of British Columbia Vancouver British Columbia Canada.
Department of Biology Memorial University St. John's Newfoundland Canada.
Biology Department Grand Valley State University Allendale Michigan USA.
University of Gävle, Faculty of Engineering and Sustainable Development, Department of Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Science, Biology.
Institute of Life and Environmental Sciences University of Iceland Reykjavík Iceland.
Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences University of Helsinki Helsinki Finland.
Department of Biology and Environmental Sciences University of Gothenburg Gothenburg Sweden.
Department of Arctic Biology University Centre in Svalbard Longyearbyen Norway.
Institute of Hydrobiology Biology Centre of the Czech Academy of Sciences Ceske Budejovice Czech Republic;Department of Biodiversity and Nature Tourism Estonian University of Life Sciences Tartu Estonia.
Department of Biology and Environmental Sciences Marietta College Marietta Ohio USA;Department of Biological Sciences Florida International University Miami Florida USA.
Department of Biology University of Copenhagen Copenhagen Denmark.
Department of Biology Aarhus University Aarhus C Denmark.
Faculty of Environmental Sciences and Natural Resource Management Norwegian University of Life Sciences Ås Norway;Norwegian Institute for Nature Research Oslo Norway.
Department of Wildlife, Fish, and Conservation Biology University of California, Davis Davis California USA.
Department of Biology University of Copenhagen Copenhagen Denmark.
Department of Ecoscience Aarhus University Roskilde Denmark;Arctic Research Centre Aarhus C Denmark.
School of Biosciences University of Nottingham Nottingham UK.
Natural Resources Institute Finland Oulu Finland.
Norwegian Institute for Nature Research Bergen Norway.
School of Environment, Resources and Sustainability University of Waterloo Waterloo Ontario Canada.
Department of Biological Sciences and Bjerknes Center for Climate Research University of Bergen Bergen Norway.
Gothenburg Global Biodiversity Centre Gothenburg Sweden;Swedish Environmental Research Institute Gothenburg Sweden.
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2025 (English)In: Ecology Letters, ISSN 1461-023X, E-ISSN 1461-0248, Vol. 28, no 9, article id e70209Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]
Following rapid climate change, tundra plant communities are experiencing extensive compositional shifts. A conservation concern is the potential encroachment of boreal species into the tundra ('borealisation'). Tundra borealisation has been sporadically reported, but not systematically quantified. Here, we synthesised data from across 32 study areas, spanning 1137 plots and 287 vascular plant species, resurveyed between 1981 and 2023. We (i) quantified tundra borealisation as the colonisation and increase in abundance of Boreal and Boreal-Tundra species, (ii) assessed biogeographical, climatic and local borealisation drivers and (iii) identified species contributing to borealisation and their associated traits. Half of the plots experienced borealisation, although borealisation rates were not different to random expectation. Borealisation was greater in Eurasia, closer to the treeline, at higher elevations, in warmer and wetter regions, where climate change was limited, and where initial boreal abundance was lower. Boreal coloniser species were generally short-statured, and more often shrubs and graminoids. Boreal species colonised around three times less frequently than Boreal-Tundra species. Hence, our findings indicate that tundra borealisation is mainly driven by the spread of already established boreal-low Arctic tundra species. These plant community composition changes could have cascading impacts on land-atmosphere interactions, trophic dynamics and Indigenous and local livelihoods.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Wiley, 2025
Keywords
boreal forest; boreal‐tundra ecotone; climate change; plant borealisation; tundra; vascular plants
National Category
Biological Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hig:diva-48588 (URN)10.1111/ele.70209 (DOI)001576635500001 ()40977098 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-105016768455 (Scopus ID)
Funder
EU, Horizon 2020, 869471Knut and Alice Wallenberg Foundation, WAF KAW 2019.0202NERC - the Natural Environment Research Council, NE/W006448/1Danish National Research Foundation, DNRF168NordForsk, 164079The Research Council of Norway, 274712
2025-09-292025-09-292025-10-03Bibliographically approved