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Digital Twins of Two Types of Machinery in the Steel Industry for Condition Monitoring and Control
University of Gävle, Faculty of Engineering and Sustainable Development, Department of Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Science, Electronics.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2162-6996
2025 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Description
Abstract [en]

This thesis investigates methodologies for modelling dynamical systems in steel manufacturing processes using data collected from industrial production in real factory settings. The systems under study operate as a plant in a closedloop system, posing unique challenges. The primary objective is to develop input-output models for a two-stage proportional cartridge valve and a radialaxial ring rolling machine, facilitating the construction of digital twins for system ageing monitoring, fault diagnosis, optimization, and the exploration of degradation-performance trade-offs.

The research is grounded in five papers addressing key challenges: (1) developing and evaluating white-box and black-box models for a two-stage proportional cartridge valve and a radial-axial ring rolling machine, (2) modelling systems with limited sensor data using closed-loop data characterized by limited excitation, and (3) formulating an optimization problem to balance performance and degradation in complex systems composed of multiple subsystems with competing failure modes.

A combination of data analysis, parameter estimation techniques, simulations, and experimental evaluations using industrial data from steel manufacturing processes forms the methodological foundation of this work. Additionally, control strategies are explored to address performance degradation trade-offs in industrial systems.

This thesis validates input-output models for system ageing monitoring and diagnostics while also comparing white-box and black-box models. It also explores the applicability of these models for predictive maintenance. Furthermore, a novel formulation of the life distribution for complex systems with multiple subsystems and competing failure modes is introduced.

In conclusion, this thesis establishes a comprehensive framework for modelling systems in steel manufacturing processes using real production-time data under closed-loop conditions. By addressing challenges related to poor sensor data and closed-loop conditions, this thesis lays the foundation for digital twin development, enhancing sustainability and efficiency of modern steel manufacturing.

Abstract [sv]

Denna avhandling undersöker metoder för att modellera dynamiska system i stålindustrins tillverkningsprocesser med hjälp av data insamlad från industriell produktion i verkliga fabriksförhållanden. De studerade systemen fungerar som en del av en sluten slinga, vilket medför unika utmaningar. Det primära målet är att utveckla in- och utgångsmodeller för en tvåstegs proportionell patronventil och en radial-axiell ringvalsningmaskin, för att möjliggöra konstruktionen av digitala tvillingar för övervakning av systemets åldrande, feldiagnostik, optimering och analys av avvägningar mellan degradering och prestanda.

Forskningen är baserad på fem artiklar som behandlar centrala utmaningar: (1) utveckling och utvärdering av vitlådemodeller och svartlådemodeller för en tvåstegs proportionell patronventil och en radial-axiell ringvalsningmaskin, (2) modellering av system med begränsad sensordata från sluten slinga, kännetecknad av begränsad excitation, och (3) formulering av ett optimeringsproblem för att balansera prestanda och degradering i komplexa system bestående av flera delsystem med konkurrerande felmoder.

En kombination av dataanalys, parameterestimeringstekniker, simuleringar och experimentella utvärderingar med industriella data från stålindustrins tillverkningsprocesser utgör den metodologiska grunden för detta arbete. Dessutom undersöks styrstrategier för att hantera avvägningar mellan prestanda och degradering i industriella system.

Denna avhandling validerar in- och utgångsmodeller för övervakning av systemets åldrande och diagnostik, samt jämför vitlådemodeller och svartlådemodeller. Den utforskar också modellernas tillämpbarhet för prediktivt underhåll. Vidare introduceras en ny formulering av livslängdsfördelningen för komplexa system med flera delsystem och konkurrerande felmoder.

Sammanfattningsvis etablerar denna avhandling en omfattande ram för modellering av system i stålindustrins tillverkningsprocesser med hjälp av realtidsdata från produktion under slutna slinga-förhållanden. Genom att adressera utmaningar kopplade till begränsad sensordata och sluten slinga, lägger avhandlingen grunden för utvecklingen av digitala tvillingar och bidrar till att förbättra hållbarheten och effektiviteten i modern stålproduktion.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Gävle: Gävle University Press , 2025. , p. 65
Series
Doctoral thesis ; 58
Keywords [en]
white-box modelling, black-box modelling, system identification, two-stage proportional cartridge valves, radial-axial ring rolling, steel industry, closed-loop identification, condition monitoring, fault diagnosis, model predictive control, health-aware control
Keywords [sv]
digitala tvillingar, vitlådemodellering, svartlådemodellering, tvåstegs proportionell patronventil, radial-axiell ringsvalsning, stålindustri, sluten slingaidentifiering, tillståndövervaking, feldiagnostik, modellpredktiv styrning, hälsoanpassad styrning
National Category
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Research subject
Intelligent Industry
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hig:diva-46311ISBN: 978-91-89593-58-9 (print)ISBN: 978-91-89593-59-6 (electronic)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hig-46311DiVA, id: diva2:1927592
Public defence
2025-03-14, Lilla Jadwigasalen (12:108), Kungsbäcksvägen 47, Gävle, Gävle, 12:15 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2025-02-21 Created: 2025-01-15 Last updated: 2025-10-02Bibliographically approved
List of papers
1. Physical Modeling of a Water Hydraulic Proportional Cartridge Valve for a Digital Twin in a Hydraulic Press Machine
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Physical Modeling of a Water Hydraulic Proportional Cartridge Valve for a Digital Twin in a Hydraulic Press Machine
2024 (English)In: Processes, E-ISSN 2227-9717, Vol. 12, no 4, article id 693Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Digital twins are an emerging technology that can be harnessed for the digitalization of the industry. Steel industry systems contain a large number of electro-hydraulic components as proportional valves. An input–output model for a water proportional cartridge valve was derived from physical modeling based on fluid mechanics, dynamics, and electrical principles. The valve is a two-stage valve with two two/two-way water proportional valves as the pilot stage and a marginally stable poppet-type cartridge valve as the main valve. To our knowledge, this is the first time that an input–output model was derived for a two-stage proportional cartridge valve with a marginally stable main valve. The orifice equation, which is based on Bernoulli principles, was approximated by a polynomial, which made the parameter estimation easier and modeling possible without measuring the pressure of the varying control volume, in contrast with previous studies of similar types of valves situated in the pilot stage part of the valve. This work complements previous studies of similar types of valves in two ways: (1) data were collected when the valve was operating in a closed loop and (2) data were collected when the valve was part of a press mill machine in a steel manufacturing plant. Model parameters were identified from data from these operating conditions. The parameters of the input–output model were estimated by convex optimization with physical constraints to overcome the problems caused by poor system excitation. For comparison, a simple linear model was derived and the least squares method was used for the parameter estimation. A thorough estimation of the parameters’ relative errors is presented. The model contains five parameters related to the design parameters of the valve. The modeled position output was in good agreement with experimental data for the training and test data. The model can be used for the real-time monitoring of the valve’s status by the model parameters. One of the model parameters varied linearly with the production cycles. Thus, the aging of the valve can be monitored.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
MDPI, 2024
Keywords
proportional cartridge valve; water hydraulics; white box modeling; system identification; hydraulic press; steel industry
National Category
Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Research subject
Intelligent Industry
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hig:diva-44142 (URN)10.3390/pr12040693 (DOI)001210288300001 ()2-s2.0-85191382378 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2024-05-06 Created: 2024-05-06 Last updated: 2025-12-15Bibliographically approved
2. Time series modelling of a radial-axial ring rolling system
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Time series modelling of a radial-axial ring rolling system
2023 (English)In: International journal of Modeling, identification and control, ISSN 1746-6172, E-ISSN 1746-6180, Vol. 43, no 1, p. 13-25Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In the present work, a digital twin of a radial-axial ring rolling machine was built by modelling the time series of the positions of the tools and control signals rather than the metrics of the produced rings, as performed in previous studies. Real data from the industry was used for modelling. The used model selection methodology is shown in detail to replicate such work for similar systems in the steel industry. The modelling results of ARX, ARMAX and orthonormal basis model structures are shown; additionally, they were validated considering SISO and MIMO systems. The modelling results were better when the subsystems considered were ARMAX and MISO than when ARX and SISO were taken into consideration. The best modelling results were obtained when physical knowledge was included in the model structure. Lastly, it was found that the model error of the horizontal subsystem could be used for predictive maintenance.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Inderscience, 2023
Keywords
radial-axial ring rolling, steel industry, grey-box modelling, MIMO systems, system identification, time series
National Category
Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Research subject
Intelligent Industry
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hig:diva-42825 (URN)10.1504/ijmic.2023.132108 (DOI)001027905200002 ()2-s2.0-85166395255 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2023-08-11 Created: 2023-08-11 Last updated: 2025-10-02Bibliographically approved
3. A Study of OBF-ARMAX Performance for Modelling of a Mechanical System Excited by a Low Frequency Signal for Condition Monitoring
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A Study of OBF-ARMAX Performance for Modelling of a Mechanical System Excited by a Low Frequency Signal for Condition Monitoring
2023 (English)In: Recent Developments in Model-Based and Data-Driven Methods for Advanced Control and Diagnosis / [ed] Janusz Kacprzyk, Springer , 2023, p. 73-82Chapter in book (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

A digital twin of a mechanical system (a pair of axial rolls in a ring mill used in a steel plant) with poles close to the unit circle and the real axis in the discrete pole-zero map was built. The system was excited by a signal concentrated in the low-frequency band. For this particular case, it is shown that the ad-hoc combination of ARMAX and orthonormal basis filter model structures outperform model structures based on either ARMAX or orthonormal basis functions when estimating the poles of the basis by analyzing the data in the frequency domain. The followed modelling methodology of the system is described in detail to help replicate the work for similar systems in the steel industry. Real production data from a steel plant were used in contrast to previous studies, where the combination of ARX and ARMAX with orthonormal basis filter model structures was evaluated using simulated data instead of real data. We believe that the resultant model can be used when having systems with poles close to the unit circle and real axis and poor excited input signal concentrated in the low frequency band. The resultant model can be used for condition monitoring and failure detection.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer, 2023
Series
Studies in Systems, Decision and Control (SSDC), ISSN 2198-4182, E-ISSN 2198-4190 ; 467
National Category
Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Research subject
Intelligent Industry
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hig:diva-42666 (URN)10.1007/978-3-031-27540-1_7 (DOI)2-s2.0-85162239790 (Scopus ID)978-3-031-27540-1 (ISBN)978-3-031-27539-5 (ISBN)
Available from: 2023-07-03 Created: 2023-07-03 Last updated: 2025-10-02Bibliographically approved
4. Comparison of Physical and LSTM Neural Network Model of a High-Pressure Valve Used in the Steel Industry
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Comparison of Physical and LSTM Neural Network Model of a High-Pressure Valve Used in the Steel Industry
2024 (English)In: 2024 IEEE 29th International Conference on Emerging Technologies and Factory Automation (ETFA), IEEE , 2024Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

This study presents models of an electro-hydraulic valve derived from physical principles and neural network techniques. Input-output models are constructed using experimental data from a hydraulic press machine in a steel manufacturing plant and as a plant of a closed loop system. The models are candidates for digital twins in the steel manufacturing plant. The physical model is derived based on fluid mechanics, fluid dynamics, and electronic principles. Two LSTM neural network models denoted NN1 and NN2 are employed for modeling the valve. The parameter estimation for each neural network model is conducted using distinct training datasets. This work compares the validation results of the models in the time and frequency domain. Both the physical model and NNs capture the main behavior of the valve. However, NNs have lower mean square error (MSE) compared to the physical model. NN2, trained the model using different operating conditions, is capable of modeling non-linearities (seen at high frequencies) and leakage effects of the system, that are not captured by NN1 and physical models. The fault caused by leakage is seen in the MSE vs cycles for the physical and NN1 models.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
IEEE, 2024
Keywords
Digital twin; Hydraulic Valve; LSTM neural network; Physical modeling; Steel Industry
National Category
Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Research subject
Intelligent Industry
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hig:diva-45859 (URN)10.1109/etfa61755.2024.10711049 (DOI)001535140200246 ()2-s2.0-85207820281 (Scopus ID)979-8-3503-6123-0 (ISBN)
Conference
2024 IEEE 29th International Conference on Emerging Technologies and Factory Automation (ETFA), Padova, Italy, 10-13 September 2024
Available from: 2024-10-17 Created: 2024-10-17 Last updated: 2025-10-02Bibliographically approved
5. Degradation Control of System of Systems with Multiple Stochastic and Deterministic Failure Modes
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Degradation Control of System of Systems with Multiple Stochastic and Deterministic Failure Modes
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Digital Twins integrating degradation models can be harnessed to enable industrial digitalization and promote sustainable manufacturing processes. Research in control has transitioned from methods ensuring stability and performance in the presence of degradation or faults to strategies that balance the performance and degradation of complex systems. This work formulates the the lifetime distribution for systems with multiple subsystems and several possible failure modes, considering both deterministic and stochastic failure modes. The proposed formulation is applied to the design of a two-layer control strategy with an model predictive control-based upper-layer controller that updates the parameters of the lower-layer PID-controlled closed-loop subsystems. The proposed method was evaluated on a numerical example using two hydraulic valves operating in parallel, a system commonly found in a steel manufacturing processes. The upper layer controller achieved equal time to failures for both valves, by varying the load on respective valves. The results suggest that heterogeneous systems, in terms of lifetime distributions and failure modes, can be controlled by balancing degradation and performance.

National Category
Control Engineering
Research subject
Intelligent Industry
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hig:diva-46310 (URN)
Available from: 2025-01-14 Created: 2025-01-14 Last updated: 2025-10-02Bibliographically approved

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Bautista Gonzalez, Oscar

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