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Geo-temporal analysis of rooftop photovoltaic potential: Duck curve flattening through solar panel orientation
University of Gävle, Faculty of Engineering and Sustainable Development, Department of Computer and Geospatial Sciences.
2025 (English)Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

This study investigates an alternative approach to rooftop photovoltaic (PV) deployment aimed at mitigating the "duck curve"—the mismatch between peak solar energy generation and typical electricity consumption patterns. Instead of maximizing overall yield on individual rooftops, the analysis focuses on the temporal distributionof solar production across an urban area. By segmenting rooftops using normal vector clustering and simulating hourly irradiance, each segment's contribution to the daily production curve was evaluated. A curve fitting algorithm was then used to identify and weight segments based on how well they helped flatten the collective production profile. Results from simulations in Gävle, Sweden, show that while significant reductions in total output occur, the energy distribution becomes more balanced, particularly during off-peak hours. This geometry based method requires no additional hardware and can complement more conventional solutions like battery storage, offering a low complexity strategy for improving solar grid integration.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025. , p. 37
Keywords [en]
Rooftop solar power, Duck curve, Curve fitting, Urban energy planning
National Category
Computer Systems
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hig:diva-47561OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hig-47561DiVA, id: diva2:1974749
Subject / course
Computer science
Educational program
Study Programme in Computer Science
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2025-06-24 Created: 2025-06-23 Last updated: 2025-10-02Bibliographically approved

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fulltext(1112 kB)47 downloads
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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • harvard-cite-them-right
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • sv-SE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • de-DE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf